NewStratif — outcome analysis is liveRead →

The terminal for
prediction markets.

Every exchange, one interface. Trade from your Stratus eval.

Exchanges0
Markets0
Aggregated TVL$0.00B
Whales tracked0
Live · 6 exchanges
Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine by end of67.0%+4.2%$4.82MWill Bitcoin hit $200,000 before January 2027?41.0%-2.8%$12.40MWill the Fed cut rates at the June 2026 FOMC m78.0%+8.9%$8.12MWill oil (WTI) close above $120 by end of May 23.0%+15.6%$2.24MWill Trump approval rating exceed 50% on May 134.0%-6.7%$5.64MWill Ethereum flip Bitcoin in market cap by 208.0%+1.2%$1.82MWill SpaceX land Starship on Mars before 2030?31.0%+0.8%$920.0KWill Taiwan Semiconductor face supply disrupti29.0%+9.8%$3.18MWill Lakers win the 2026 NBA Championship?12.0%-2.3%$1.42MWill AGI be achieved (OpenAI definition) by en47.0%+3.4%$6.82MWill a major US bank fail in 2026?18.0%+2.4%$2.64MWill Jesus return by end of 2027?2.0%+0.1%$180.0KWill Jesus return be above 5% odds by end of A4.0%+0.8%$42.0KWill recession be declared by NBER by end of 238.0%+5.2%$3.92MWill Apple release AR glasses in 2026?22.0%-1.4%$1.12MWill Iran conduct first nuclear test in 2026?9.0%+3.1%$2.42MWill the S&P 500 close above 6,500 by end of Q54.0%+2.8%$4.28MWill Taylor Swift announce engagement in 2026?31.0%-1.2%$680.0KWill there be a ceasefire in Ukraine by end of67.0%+4.2%$4.82MWill Bitcoin hit $200,000 before January 2027?41.0%-2.8%$12.40MWill the Fed cut rates at the June 2026 FOMC m78.0%+8.9%$8.12MWill oil (WTI) close above $120 by end of May 23.0%+15.6%$2.24MWill Trump approval rating exceed 50% on May 134.0%-6.7%$5.64MWill Ethereum flip Bitcoin in market cap by 208.0%+1.2%$1.82MWill SpaceX land Starship on Mars before 2030?31.0%+0.8%$920.0KWill Taiwan Semiconductor face supply disrupti29.0%+9.8%$3.18MWill Lakers win the 2026 NBA Championship?12.0%-2.3%$1.42MWill AGI be achieved (OpenAI definition) by en47.0%+3.4%$6.82MWill a major US bank fail in 2026?18.0%+2.4%$2.64MWill Jesus return by end of 2027?2.0%+0.1%$180.0KWill Jesus return be above 5% odds by end of A4.0%+0.8%$42.0KWill recession be declared by NBER by end of 238.0%+5.2%$3.92MWill Apple release AR glasses in 2026?22.0%-1.4%$1.12MWill Iran conduct first nuclear test in 2026?9.0%+3.1%$2.42MWill the S&P 500 close above 6,500 by end of Q54.0%+2.8%$4.28MWill Taylor Swift announce engagement in 2026?31.0%-1.2%$680.0K
Polymarket
Kalshi
Rain
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Aggregation

Sum volume, volume-weight prices, merge orderbooks — across every exchange, in one toggle.

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Manifold
Metaculus
Myriad
Modules · 04

The terminal for prediction markets.

Four modules. One terminal. Scroll to explore each.

Scroll
MAPStratify · Maps

Maps

Bubblemaps cluster markets by narrative. A Pearson correlation engine reveals the non-obvious links.

Open Maps
67%41%23%
Clustered by narrative
Size · 24h volume
INTStratify · Intel

Intel

New markets, trending narratives and whale moves — in a single live feed.

Open Intel
Live · Intel feed
312 whales · 24h
MarketExchangesOdds
Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine by end of Q2 2026?PMKLRN67.0%
Will Bitcoin hit $200,000 before January 2027?PMKLRN41.0%
Will the Fed cut rates at the June 2026 FOMC meeting?KLPM78.0%
Will oil (WTI) close above $120 by end of May 2026?PMRN23.0%
Will Trump approval rating exceed 50% on May 1, 2026?PMKLMF34.0%
TRMStratify · Terminal

Terminal

Candlesticks, orderbook and trade tape for markets that never had them. Trade from your Stratus eval.

Open Terminal
PMBTC $200k 20271H
41.2%+4.18%
EMA(20)Orderbook · Trade tape · Compare
STFStratify · Stratif

Stratif

AI-driven outcome analysis on every resolution, with expected moves across every related market.

Open Stratif
What If · GeopoliticsUkraine ceasefire Q2 2026
Yes
67%
Yes resolves · 67%
  • EU gas −15 to −25%
  • NATO talks resume
  • Defence ETFs correct
No resolves · 33%
  • Safe-haven flows
  • Oil risk premium
  • Gold, CHF strength
Related markets · 4Confidence · High
Maps
Chapter 01 / 04Bubblemap · Correlation · Nested layers
01 · Overview0%
Polymarket$148M · 24hKalshi$48M · 24hRain$18M · 24hManifoldMetaculusMyriad
Ukraine ceasefire67%$4.8MBTC $200k41%$12MFed cut · Jun78%$8MTrump 50%34%$5MAGI · 202847%$6.8MOil $120TSMCJesus 2027SPX 6500
Fredi9999TOPPolyWhaleWHALESharpTraderTOPNostradamusWHALEKalshiKingWHALE0x2222…0x3333…MacroMaxiTOP0x4444…0x5555…0x6666…
Exchanges · 6 sources
Size · 24h volume
Correlation matrix
30-day Pearson ρ
n = 5Strongest · BTC ↔ FED · +0.52
UKR
BTC
OIL
FED
TRP
UKR
-0.12
-0.54
+0.38
-0.24
BTC
-0.12
+0.08
+0.52
-0.18
OIL
-0.54
+0.08
-0.22
+0.14
FED
+0.38
+0.52
-0.22
-0.32
TRP
-0.24
-0.18
+0.14
-0.32
UKR · Ukraine ceasefireBTC · BTC $200kOIL · Oil $120FED · Fed cuts · JunTRP · Trump 50%
Normalised correlation
4 markets · 30 days · % change
UKR ↔ OIL · ρ = −0.54BTC ↔ FED · ρ = +0.52
100%75%50%25%10%−30d−22d−14d−7dtoday
UKRUkraine ceasefire+28.4%
OILOil $120−26.1%
FEDFed cut · Jun+16.2%
BTCBTC $200k+21.0%
NextIntel →
Chapter 02 / 04Intel
0%
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//_
I · 01

Aggregated whale tracking

Every $10k+ trade attributed to the wallet that placed it.

Capability
Whale tapeLast 1h · Threshold $10,000
ExchangeWalletSideValue
PMFredi9999PolymarketBUY YES$148,200
KLPolyWhalePolymarketSELL NO$64,500
RN0x7777…PolymarketBUY NO$42,800
PMSharpTraderPolymarketBUY YES$38,100
KLKalshiKingPolymarketSELL YES$22,400
$10k+ threshold
ENS + tier label
Source exchange
I · 02

Real-time cross-exchange feed

Six exchanges, deduplicated and time-synced. WebSocket live.

Capability
Live cross-exchange feedWebSocket · 6 exchanges
ExMarketOdds24h
PMWill Fed cut in June?78%+3.2%
KLTrump approval > 50% May 134%−1.8%
RNBTC $200k before 202741%+0.9%
MFTaiwan disruption in 202629%+4.2%
PMUkraine ceasefire by Q267%+5.1%
Live · WebSocket
Deduplicated cross-ex.
Category filter
I · 03

Follow top traders

Leaderboard by win rate and 30-day PnL. One-tap follow.

Capability
Top traders · 30 daysWin rate weighted
#TraderWinPnLVol
#01Fredi999978%+$284K$14.2M
#02SharpTrader.eth71%+$156K$8.8M
#03PolyWhale64%+$92K$6.1M
#04MacroMaxi58%+$41K$3.9M
#05Nostradamus54%−$8K$2.4M
Win rate · 30d
Signed PnL
Follow · Alert
I · 04

Build watchlists

Star markets, set price & volume alerts. Private or shared.

Capability
My watchlist · Private4 markets · 6 alerts
ExMarketAlert
PMFed cut Jun · 78%Price ≥ 85%
KLUkraine ceasefire Q2 · 67%Vol spike
PMBTC $200k · 41%Price ≤ 35%
RNRecession 2026 · 38%Resolve ≤ 14d
Starred · Watchlist
Price / vol alerts
Private by default
I · 05

Fully integrated

Every feed row opens in Maps, Terminal or Stratif — one click.

Capability
IntelHubMapsBubble · ρTerminalTrade · Stratus EvalStratifWhat If
Open in Maps
Open in Terminal
Open in Stratif
01 / 05Aggregated whale tracking
Chapter 03 / 04Terminal
0%
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Stratify · Terminal

Where it all comes together.

Chapter 04 · Stratif

What if? Stratif.

PMBTC $200k 20271HAGG
Compare·Related·Stratify Script
PoliticalPolitical insights
NewsUp-to-date news feed
EconomicEconomic outcomes
ProbabilityProbability trees
Stratus Ecosystem

Trade from your funded eval.

One click to connect. Google login via Particle Network. Pre-trade gates enforced client-side.

Eval connected0xF5a1…f2a1
Account
$25k
Daily Limit
$5k
Open PnL
+$842
Signed via Particle AA
Within stake limit
Within exposure cap